Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | marco fabrizi | 11-3 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | gigachadsigmamale | 6-3 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12774495 |
| Mono-Red Aggro | luke doyle | 8-6 | None |
| Mono-Red Aggro | thiago rodrigues | 6-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | jan marc marino | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Meta Performance Analysis
Scorch Spitter ranks #271 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 5%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Scorch Spitter is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 4
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 9.02 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.4%. Scorch Spitter has a win rate of 55.9%, making it 18.0% better than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force of Negation | Instant | 5 | 55.0% | 0 |
| Electrolyze | Instant | 5 | 52.6% | 0 |
| Stormchaser Mage | Creature — Human Wizard | 7 | 51.5% | 0 |
| Balmor, Battlemage Captain | Legendary Creature — Bird Wizard | 10 | 49.2% | 0 |
| Play with Fire | Instant | 7 | 49.2% | 0 |
| Lava Coil | Sorcery | 9 | 49.1% | 2 |
| Flame Slash | Sorcery | 15 | 49.1% | 1 |
| Grim Lavamancer | Creature — Human Wizard | 10 | 48.0% | 0 |
| Embereth Shieldbreaker | Creature — Human Knight | 9 | 47.9% | 1 |
| Fanatical Firebrand | Creature — Goblin Pirate | 6 | 47.9% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Scorch Spitter than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grim Initiate | Creature — Zombie Warrior | 1 | 8 | 77.8% | 61.8% | +16.0% |
| Electrolyze | Instant | 3 | 5 | 69.2% | 55.4% | +13.9% |
| Lava Coil | Sorcery | 2 | 7 | 65.4% | 56.7% | +8.7% |
| Force Spike | Instant | 1 | 9 | 64.7% | 56.6% | +8.1% |
| Robber of the Rich | Creature — Human Archer Rogue | 2 | 10 | 61.0% | 55.7% | +5.3% |
| Torbran, Thane of Red Fell | Legendary Creature — Dwarf Noble | 4 | 11 | 62.8% | 58.3% | +4.5% |
| True-Name Nemesis | Creature — Merfolk Rogue | 3 | 6 | 60.0% | 55.9% | +4.1% |
| Mental Misstep | Instant | 1 | 7 | 61.1% | 57.0% | +4.1% |
| Embereth Shieldbreaker | Creature — Human Knight | 2 | 6 | 60.0% | 56.0% | +4.0% |
| Hellrider | Creature — Devil | 4 | 9 | 57.9% | 54.2% | +3.7% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | 21 | 4.8% | 40.3% |
| Izzet Prowess | 18 | 1.8% | 40.3% |
| Gruul Aggro | 2 | 0.1% | 66.7% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.